MLB · resolved market

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb948fa0a9d958e5d455b52ffa30852bc244c1a033fe9037fce9dbf3e100265f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved: May 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,601 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles	61c	23,635$14,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,417.52	501	53.5%268 W · 233 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	12,996$5,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,890.76	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays	54c	6,258$3,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,873.59	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	5,427$2,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,310.47	235	38.3%90 W · 145 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Tampa Bay Rays	39c	5,100$1,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,111	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles	57c	4,689$2,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,672.17	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles	60c	4,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	3,750$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles	60c	3,254$1,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.11	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	3,000$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,830	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles	61c	2,027$1,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,228.25	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles	60c	1,727$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.24	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	39c	1,500$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays	39c	1,397$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.72	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles	59c	1,179$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.64	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles	60c	1,168$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.5	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles	9c	1,020$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.39	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles	60c	1,014$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.06	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	1,012$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.96	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	1,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+4.5wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles	61c	999.99$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.44	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ae…7aa6backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	875$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	675$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405	391	49.1%192 W · 199 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Baltimore Orioles	60c	623.88$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.1	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tampa Bay Rays	44c	594.33$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.7	752	44%331 W · 421 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	582.39$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.55	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	576.92$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.92	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Baltimore Orioles	61c	500.1$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.06	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Baltimore Orioles	56c	337.87$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.21	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles	60c	335.1$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.06	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles	59c	319.93$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.76	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	39c	279.82$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.69	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-9.9wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	262.52$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.14	591	50.3%297 W · 294 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	260$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.6	201	38.8%78 W · 123 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays	46c	255.72$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.42	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	120	61.7%74 W · 46 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Baltimore Orioles	59c	244$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.96	726	48.1%349 W · 377 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Tampa Bay Rays	43c	235.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.22	946	48.9%463 W · 483 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Baltimore Orioles	61c	205.8$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.36	252	49.6%125 W · 127 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	200$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d1…f8c0backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	200$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	60	50%30 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Baltimore Orioles	59c	195.12$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.12	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	177.5$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.5	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles	56c	176.25$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.7	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Baltimore Orioles	56c	176.25$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.7	739	49.8%368 W · 371 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Baltimore Orioles	60c	158.4$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	113	65.5%74 W · 39 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Baltimore Orioles	60c	149.99$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.74	272	48.5%132 W · 140 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Tampa Bay Rays	43c	145$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.65	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Tampa Bay Rays	43c	143.21$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.33	446	48.7%217 W · 229 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c3…c2e6backed Baltimore Orioles	61c	142.62$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	59cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	125$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	124.72$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.91	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8abf…c736backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	124.45$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.45	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Baltimore Orioles	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Baltimore Orioles	61c	100$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	795	43%342 W · 453 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8490…ac46backed Baltimore Orioles	61c	98.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles	61c	92.87$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.85	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d61…26e5backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	92$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.2	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.22per pick	48cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	41c	84.51$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.51	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	84.35$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.67	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked Tampa Bay Rays	41c	73.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.17	242	48.8%118 W · 124 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Tampa Bay Rays	42c	69.8$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.67	469	46.3%217 W · 252 L	-25.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	66$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.2	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	62.5$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	569	46.9%267 W · 302 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	60$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.6	126	54%68 W · 58 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	56.75$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	726	55.4%402 W · 324 L	+40.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Baltimore Orioles	56c	55.84$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.27	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	51.08$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.88	5,126	54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L	+231.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Tampa Bay Rays	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	689	42.2%291 W · 398 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	1,661	43.5%722 W · 939 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3255…ffb9backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	180	53.9%97 W · 83 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	544	55.1%300 W · 244 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…e307backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	49.98$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.49	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Tampa Bay Rays	45c	43.08$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.68	499	42.9%214 W · 285 L	-31.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays	45c	41.36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.75	1,911	53.1%1,014 W · 897 L	+43.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Tampa Bay Rays	45c	41.09$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.6	580	54.5%316 W · 264 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	70c	40.27$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.93	325	50.5%164 W · 161 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Baltimore Orioles	56c	40.04$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	507	48.7%247 W · 260 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Baltimore Orioles	54c	39.24$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	39c	38.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.46	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Baltimore Orioles	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	348	43.4%151 W · 197 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Baltimore Orioles	56c	29.79$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Baltimore Orioles	56c	29.79$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	106	50%53 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Tampa Bay Rays	39c	28.74$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.53	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb549…ae63backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	28.57$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.86	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	27.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.79	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	26.66$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.73	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	25.87$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.35	694	47.6%330 W · 364 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e66…79f0backed Tampa Bay Rays	42c	25.64$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.87	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	25.45$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Baltimore Orioles	60c	20.02$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Baltimore Orioles	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-5.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-7.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-8.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event