CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb775f09632eeec7bc3fa73223e0d12cd8a53fe256379dc7fb5e8598b7a5c44f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 48c | 4,740$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.62 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked SPARTA | 52c | 4,256$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.03 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked SPARTA | 49c | 2,498$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.01 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Ursa | 16c | 1,581$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.39 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Ursa | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 23c | 1,072$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed SPARTA | 48c | 843.72$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.35 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ursa | 36c | 841$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.39 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed Ursa | 45c | 718.68$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.92 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Ursa | 34c | 715.69$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Ursa | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Ursa | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked SPARTA | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked SPARTA | 49c | 598.39$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.98 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ursa | 23c | 505.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked SPARTA | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed SPARTA | 46c | 494.45$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.74 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Ursa | 51c | 440.35$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ursa | 48c | 424.33$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.83 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked SPARTA | 50c | 406.97$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.54 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Ursa | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ursa | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…150ebacked SPARTA | 52c | 384.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.33 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…b56dbacked SPARTA | 50c | 377.6$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ursa | 10c | 364.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Ursa | 26c | 360.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed SPARTA | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed SPARTA | 49c | 302.79$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ursa | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Ursa | 48c | 297.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SPARTA | 76c | 269.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed SPARTA | 75c | 266.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Ursa | 56c | 261.95$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed Ursa | 13c | 259.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 26c | 252.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Ursa | 27c | 240$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9558…9579backed Ursa | 51c | 236.91$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed SPARTA | 52c | 232.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…3ca0backed Ursa | 51c | 228.3$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed SPARTA | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Ursa | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Ursa | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed SPARTA | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed SPARTA | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked SPARTA | 50c | 199.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked SPARTA | 51c | 197.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ursa | 44c | 196.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Ursa | 33c | 192.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed SPARTA | 53c | 189.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed SPARTA | 60c | 166.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed SPARTA | 51c | 165$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Ursa | 20c | 163.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed SPARTA | 51c | 163.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ursa | 22c | 162.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed SPARTA | 51c | 159.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…3f2ebacked Ursa | 51c | 149.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Ursa | 46c | 145.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked SPARTA | 46c | 144.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Ursa | 49c | 139.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7e40backed SPARTA | 70c | 127.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Ursa | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ursa | 23c | 123$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa | 33c | 120.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Ursa | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Ursa | 56c | 107.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 63c | 105.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ursa | 48c | 103.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Ursa | 49c | 101.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Ursa | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Ursa | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Ursa | 45c | 90.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ursa | 22c | 89.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf099…d75cbacked SPARTA | 58c | 85.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…854bbacked Ursa | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked SPARTA | 70c | 75.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed SPARTA | 50c | 75.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…a7a7backed Ursa | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked SPARTA | 73c | 68.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed SPARTA | 50c | 62.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Ursa | 52c | 62.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…5c42backed Ursa | 27c | 61.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Ursa | 48c | 60.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Ursa | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed SPARTA | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed SPARTA | 47c | 58.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked SPARTA | 54c | 57.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdb…d324backed Ursa | 50c | 55.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Ursa | 45c | 55.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed SPARTA | 52c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed SPARTA | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked SPARTA | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed SPARTA | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 159 | 58.5%93 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed SPARTA | 50c | 42.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed SPARTA | 72c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Ursa | 26c | 40.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked SPARTA | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked SPARTA | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Ursa | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed SPARTA | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked SPARTA | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.