TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf30c…a7a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 9z (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.88
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.91
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.72
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.82
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.26
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.04
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.34
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$50.45
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.13
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.35
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.45
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$7.29
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.15
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.79
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.43
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.44
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$17.08
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.28per pick36cpaid+109.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$22.1
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$32.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+359.6%+$251.76
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+203.9%+$171.32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+722.5%+$505.75
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.2
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.14
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.61
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+169.2%+$86.28
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$31.17
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+229.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.59
Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.04
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+165.9%+$30.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.