Cricket · resolved market
Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c172b75faee3cb312a5e1b323c5e76712b0049e87cc63652acd6efb987b8ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ab2…50bfbacked Yes | 31c | 624.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…c46fbacked Yes | 37c | 611.5$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 606.69$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…6916backed Yes | 24c | 505$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 435.39$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…55f1backed No | 77c | 390$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aac…ced2backed Yes | 43c | 336.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 69c | 246.76$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 75c | 190.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 7c | 174.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed Yes | 60c | 166.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 40c | 152.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes | 23c | 127.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750a…29cebacked Yes | 15c | 127.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked No | 77c | 119.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 53c | 100.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…d9e4backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…0ca0backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6536…f1d2backed Yes | 32c | 69.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…59f0backed Yes | 30c | 67.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 74c | 66.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cda…c30cbacked Yes | 22c | 64.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9d…9854backed Yes | 23c | 62.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 65c | 52.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…dcdfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…9728backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 64c | 41.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…4434backed No | 77c | 38.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…9215backed Yes | 53c | 34.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…a7a7backed Yes | 32c | 33.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 25.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…b81dbacked Yes | 68c | 15.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?this page
- Will Kagiso Rabada win the 2026 IPL purple cap?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.