Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40be5a900d8ce31807e99dec4e9fbd55806a74b91697d20701e316600e9ff04d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 4,133$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.33 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 51c | 3,893$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 2,645$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 2,112$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.38 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 59c | 2,044$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 42c | 1,906$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.98 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 42c | 1,241$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.38 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…7bc9backed Under | 59c | 1,167$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.24 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 63c | 797.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.03 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 739.38$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.51 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 72c | 577.21$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.59 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 36c | 546.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.71 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 542.87$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 492.64$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 481.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 423.25$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.38 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Over | 30c | 218.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.16 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 58c | 203.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 41c | 182.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 33c | 179.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 53c | 141.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 59c | 136.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 133.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…d654backed Over | 45c | 111.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 63c | 110.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 59c | 106.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 106.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 30c | 105.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked Under | 67c | 74.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 58c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 71c | 55.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Over | 38c | 54.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 46c | 49.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 49.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 39c | 48.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 35c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…a7a7backed Under | 34c | 33.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Over | 43c | 27.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 65c | 16.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5this page
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Serbia (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Serbia (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.