Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61e7cf8bd69d4a823a744dfd7237adcc3e017b4c194d1bd4eae30b784b9b9fac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 3,925$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 1c | 2,453$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 2,422$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.02 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 57c | 1,300$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 51c | 1,073$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.62 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 56c | 626.41$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.64 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 52c | 342.17$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Yes | 63c | 339.83$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 51c | 314$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 56c | 305.51$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 305.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 55c | 301.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 20c | 264$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed No | 67c | 242.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes | 49c | 197.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 52c | 135$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed No | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…6a9cbacked No | 53c | 102.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 33c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Yes | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes | 61c | 65.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Yes | 53c | 65.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…a7a7backed Yes | 36c | 61.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Yes | 48c | 51.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 50c | 48.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…2ee8backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…dda9backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 47c | 29.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f975backed No | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 51c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 23.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 46c | 22.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 55c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…c522backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Serbia (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Serbia (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.