Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9eb993fffd164d3feefcdf88886be7c0b3ff51b0543a6ea80be3ff09a036679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 3c | 5,549$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 59c | 2,148$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.7 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 2,041$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.56 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfc…678ebacked Over | 1c | 1,944$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 77c | 1,200$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.91 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…f579backed Over | 22c | 1,001$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 61c | 981.45$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 17c | 925.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 62c | 837.32$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.14 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 601.31$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 34c | 468.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 22c | 447.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 429.22$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 394$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 378.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 75c | 264.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 47c | 168.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 80c | 114.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…a9bbbacked Over | 21c | 108.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…f1abbacked Under | 42c | 95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 26c | 81.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 27c | 70.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 28c | 48.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Over | 22c | 46.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 34c | 35.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 47c | 27.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…74d2backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 74c | 14.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5this page
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Serbia (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Serbia (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.