CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9475aaa37f7301b95b745af141d8edb7dfac7e00b5530fc5abeced5ba2159c90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof Johnny Speeds, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 1,436$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.81 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Johnny Speeds | 38c | 724$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.12 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 644.12$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 472.42$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Johnny Speeds | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 44c | 293.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed Johnny Speeds | 36c | 270.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 233$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 195$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 183.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…a621backed Johnny Speeds | 28c | 174.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Johnny Speeds | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Johnny Speeds | 56c | 141.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 141.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Johnny Speeds | 36c | 139.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 134.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 127.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 124.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 113.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 95.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 92.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Johnny Speeds | 36c | 91.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 82.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…a7a7backed Johnny Speeds | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…854bbacked Johnny Speeds | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 73.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Johnny Speeds | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 25c | 57.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…cdc9backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 57.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 48.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 43.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 41.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Johnny Speeds | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Johnny Speeds | 27c | 41.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 38.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Johnny Speeds | 64c | 36.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…845cbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 30.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…7787backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 26.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed Johnny Speeds | 47c | 25.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Johnny Speeds | 64c | 22.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+3.5)Johnny Speeds won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.