CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cdc01f4ee5eae77dbaba9f42541ef13874820fa187ea119996e2f14dd26e199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof Johnny Speeds, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 3,500$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 42c | 2,459$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Johnny Speeds | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Johnny Speeds | 42c | 654.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.1 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Johnny Speeds | 36c | 490.53$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Johnny Speeds | 44c | 466.57$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.02 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Johnny Speeds | 34c | 285.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 256.6$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 238.18$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 151.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Johnny Speeds | 36c | 137.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Johnny Speeds | 45c | 83.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 63.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 50.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Johnny Speeds | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Johnny Speeds | 42c | 36.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Johnny Speeds | 45c | 23.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Johnny Speeds | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+3.5)Johnny Speeds won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+3.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.