Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa7d24ad7176a82d6c19f2a2050ed13b96846fec3808d1d88b8a80c7910a015d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 0c | 34,632$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,386$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…58febacked Yes | 0c | 3,377$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 0c | 3,121$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…9125backed Yes | 2c | 2,338$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 1c | 1,714$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…05f7backed Yes | 64c | 1,639$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,219$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.32 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 51c | 1,127$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.67 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 6c | 1,123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 34c | 901.52$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.63 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 872.46$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.44 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…4629backed Yes | 16c | 706.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 60c | 671.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 37c | 617.55$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.91 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 12c | 609.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.54 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 52c | 590.01$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.64 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…a7a7backed Yes | 69c | 583.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 70c | 524.08$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 41c | 518.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 507.1$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 506$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…7b6dbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 68c | 409.27$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 80c | 288.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 15c | 286.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 22c | 275.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 24c | 270.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 18c | 269.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 16c | 266.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 42c | 259.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…19d9backed Yes | 20c | 254.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 75c | 240.11$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 39c | 232.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 36c | 229.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 55c | 228.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 43c | 227.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 79c | 224.54$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 16c | 219.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 216.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…1ffabacked Yes | 8c | 210.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8947…4635backed Yes | 68c | 202.37$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…b4c1backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 28c | 184.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 24c | 176$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…55b7backed Yes | 30c | 170.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 52c | 170.28$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 62c | 165.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 46c | 159.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 36c | 152.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed Yes | 18c | 145.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 62c | 143.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed No | 61c | 141.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 183 | 33.3%61 W · 122 L | -17.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 22c | 140.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 80c | 139.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 21c | 139.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 79c | 128.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 123.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 119$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 55c | 118.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 17c | 117.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 10c | 116.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +718.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 68c | 116.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 115.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf8…065ebacked Yes | 68c | 114.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 17c | 113.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…6cfebacked No | 67c | 112.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…fd78backed Yes | 22c | 107.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 78c | 104.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…b908backed Yes | 16c | 104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 19c | 100.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 38c | 99.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x92ea…bdbdbacked Yes | 20c | 99.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 19c | 98.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Yes | 17c | 97.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked No | 66c | 91.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 29c | 90.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 23c | 87.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…0f30backed No | 71c | 86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…a4d5backed No | 72c | 85.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…99b7backed Yes | 65c | 85.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 19c | 82.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 16c | 82.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…7d0abacked Yes | 21c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 25c | 81.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…c354backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 63c | 79.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 65c | 76.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 40c | 69.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 19c | 69.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 47c | 68.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 30c | 67.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed No | 78c | 65.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 17c | 65.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed No | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.