Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92288c4536d2c9cf65164654bc97402bd5d33551c13cc72e057359d451c15bc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,730$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 1c | 5,576$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 1c | 1,710$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 31c | 1,101$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.72 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 7c | 700$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 26c | 643.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked Yes | 22c | 616.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes | 10c | 550.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 2c | 550.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 467.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638d…3d87backed No | 76c | 457.61$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 8c | 450$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 71c | 410.52$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…6cfebacked Yes | 25c | 405.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 4c | 396.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 31c | 365.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 4c | 358.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…63ccbacked Yes | 29c | 343.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf99…f1e5backed Yes | 29c | 326.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…9125backed Yes | 12c | 320.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 5c | 309.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 26c | 299.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 294.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 7c | 281.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 251.49$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 71c | 243.48$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 7c | 214.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 21c | 209.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 74c | 202.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 74c | 191.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 186.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 71c | 183.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 17c | 180.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 179.26$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 30c | 172.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 18c | 157.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 16c | 148.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 74c | 145.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 70c | 141.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 35c | 140.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 75c | 138.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05d…94d5backed Yes | 22c | 137.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 80c | 136.74$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 30c | 129.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 23c | 127.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 16c | 126.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…31d4backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 74c | 122.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 14c | 117.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 31c | 113.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e53…eb15backed No | 75c | 106.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…e027backed Yes | 19c | 104.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 20c | 103.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…fd78backed Yes | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea19…f354backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 71c | 98.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 25c | 94.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 15c | 88.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 71c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 69c | 83.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 30c | 82.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 76c | 82.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 30c | 80.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 73.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 28c | 72.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 24c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 71c | 69.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 26c | 68.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 24c | 64.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…d3b7backed Yes | 29c | 60.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 71c | 58.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 77c | 57.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758d…9548backed Yes | 28c | 56.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20a…7434backed Yes | 28c | 55.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 28c | 54.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 30c | 51.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…3eddbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked Yes | 23c | 48.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…d705backed No | 65c | 48.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 77c | 48.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 72c | 45.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 44.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7603…2276backed No | 71c | 43.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 146 | 74.7%109 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 72c | 43.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.