Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5e7fdc44078009c14b5abff507b5fb4bbeb5addeec10528b6c142281fe43a6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefc…58febacked No | 0c | 3,812$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 32c | 3,325$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.52 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 28c | 2,501$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.89 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 49c | 1,117$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.44 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 9c | 1,114$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.28 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 31c | 827.45$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.25 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 820$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.78 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 34c | 699.44$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.9 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d9…f161backed No | 71c | 651.46$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 50c | 590.01$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 23c | 576.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.59 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 54c | 552.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.93 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 552.49$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.23 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 507.1$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.32 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 62c | 484.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.28 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 471.59$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 8c | 416.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.18 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 386$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.95 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 41c | 383.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.59 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 26c | 381.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.71 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 61c | 372.3$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.19 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 48c | 370.1$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 38c | 357.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.26 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 77c | 354.68$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.69 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 38c | 315$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…8b39backed Yes | 11c | 304.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes | 43c | 249.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 57c | 221.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 216.13$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 213.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 42c | 204.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 11c | 200.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 194$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.72 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 15c | 193.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 39c | 187.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 43c | 183.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.07 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 22c | 182.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 66c | 168.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 36c | 165.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 11c | 165.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.73 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 65c | 159.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 47c | 158.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 26c | 158.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…7b6dbacked No | 52c | 158.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…6cfebacked No | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 8c | 150$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 46c | 147.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 27c | 146.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 58c | 141.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 136.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 46c | 134.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 15c | 130.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 39c | 128.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 67c | 122.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 122.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 119$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 39c | 116.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 35c | 115.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 12c | 114.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 33c | 111.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 110.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 45c | 110.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…fd78backed Yes | 38c | 110.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 33c | 105.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…cc93backed Yes | 20c | 105.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…b4dabacked Yes | 49c | 101.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…7718backed Yes | 44c | 101$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 13c | 100.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 100.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 27c | 99.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 98.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 36c | 98.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 58c | 97.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…dc72backed Yes | 23c | 90.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 84.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 35c | 84.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…ace6backed Yes | 37c | 83.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 50c | 80.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 56c | 79.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 55c | 79.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 62c | 78.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…63e1backed Yes | 19c | 77.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…a4d5backed No | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…4629backed Yes | 21c | 73.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…a5a1backed Yes | 21c | 72.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 18c | 70.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 65c | 69.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 34c | 69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 66.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 64c | 64.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.