MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4253fea48b64169e905c46540bd2c74b12c4ba50b1f18c09de8e5749ca479879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 52,632$35,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,263.16 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 46,022$17,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,502.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 34,595$17,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,297.61 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 24,884$15,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,687.23 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…cc23backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 23,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 16,131$8,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,226.89 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 15,554$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 8,296$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.93 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 7,097$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 6,636$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.73 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 4,409$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.66 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 3,683$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.55 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 3,669$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.91 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 3,430$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 3,424$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.78 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 3,122$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.13 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,406$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.74 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,898$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.98 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,757$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.98 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 1,684$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.42 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 70c | 1,420$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,190$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.86 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,142$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.42 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,125$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.78 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,082$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.46 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 1,076$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Seattle Mariners | 74c | 1,019$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.23 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 954.67$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.71 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 949.34$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.79 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 863.2$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 835.84$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 601$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.29 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 581.64$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 577.8$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 517$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.07 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 495.16$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…bdbdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 491.37$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 472.34$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.17 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Seattle Mariners | 34c | 466.23$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.71 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 419.65$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 410$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 403.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 396.07$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 340.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 317$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 313.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Seattle Mariners | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 289.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 289.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 280.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 275.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 260.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 255$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa495…5777backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 229.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ef…bcd3backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 213.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 210.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 203.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Seattle Mariners | 72c | 202$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 196.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 189.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 189.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…5a37backed Seattle Mariners | 70c | 180.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 179.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…31ecbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 175.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 161$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 159$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 158.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 151.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +256.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…81c7backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 147.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 146.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 141.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 137.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…03a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 134.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…e781backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 130.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 129.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…dec9backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 128.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…7f98backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 124.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.