CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbae91a7f84cfa732862e47f391354c7a4828125eefa4935e04850925ca85bd6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 5,366$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.16 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 47c | 4,727$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…625ebacked Phantom | 16c | 3,483$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Phantom | 16c | 1,700$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Phantom | 47c | 1,038$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.88 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 10c | 982$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…2571backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 923.08$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phantom | 48c | 861.38$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.74 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Phantom | 48c | 638.29$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.38 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 38c | 607.6$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Phantom | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Phantom | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…bc8abacked Phantom | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 19cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 405$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.03 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…d305backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 331$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Phantom | 41c | 326.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Phantom | 6c | 324$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Johnny Speeds | 77c | 260.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 28c | 224.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Phantom | 45c | 221.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Phantom | 39c | 211.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phantom | 22c | 208$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Phantom | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 29c | 174.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Phantom | 48c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed Johnny Speeds | 62c | 129.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Phantom | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom | 20c | 118.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Phantom | 39c | 118.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 107.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 105.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…8199backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 105.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…f9d1backed Phantom | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Phantom | 22c | 90.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 39c | 82.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 80.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 79.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Phantom | 17c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Phantom | 46c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…31c4backed Phantom | 21c | 74.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Johnny Speeds | 53c | 72.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Phantom | 48c | 72.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Johnny Speeds | 79c | 66.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…5bf0backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 66.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…0c10backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…969fbacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…8f48backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Phantom | 34c | 44.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…43a7backed Phantom | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…83edbacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Phantom | 48c | 38.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Phantom | 47c | 38.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 33.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 30.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Phantom | 47c | 26.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 26.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…8ddabacked Johnny Speeds | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.