Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadba709af279a1745bfa5265ee4c7dc6dc2c88c2ce1e39b15c76fd3290daba09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 3,971$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 47c | 2,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.79 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 40c | 1,237$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.45 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 53c | 1,164$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.19 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Under | 53c | 894.23$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.29 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 45c | 798.1$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.33 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 59c | 499.95$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 467.32$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.24 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 375.42$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 44c | 334.62$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 39c | 298.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 61c | 206.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 41c | 175.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed Over | 40c | 123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 42c | 119.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…c696backed Over | 43c | 114.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 42c | 114.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Over | 43c | 106.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 43c | 95.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Under | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 30c | 89.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 17c | 79.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 78.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 24c | 69.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Over | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Under | 61c | 49.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…1a5bbacked Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 61c | 42.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 35.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…2954backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…8ddabacked Under | 58c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 54c | 19.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 58c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 78c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 2.5this page
- Egypt vs. Russia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Russia won
- Spread: Russia (-1.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.