Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd92320b5b17cc0708a6a5bc8808a3fafa733ebe70109d24d2e598fc8ef943525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,686$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.87 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 70c | 1,240$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.28 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 32c | 1,058$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.72 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 17c | 895.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Over | 67c | 749.89$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 49c | 610$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 514.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.81 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Under | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 31c | 403.32$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.61 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Over | 71c | 358.14$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 28c | 357.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.13 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 70c | 287.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 49c | 267.35$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Under | 66c | 250.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Under | 43c | 232.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 213.13$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 33c | 206.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 68c | 167.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 67c | 149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 35c | 144.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Under | 72c | 139.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 51c | 137.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f3…51f6backed Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Over | 70c | 113.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 68c | 101$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…982dbacked Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Under | 33c | 70.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 38c | 63.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Over | 71c | 53.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 33c | 47.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 29c | 39.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 29c | 33.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Over | 43c | 32.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 41c | 32.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…c696backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 68c | 28.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Under | 80c | 24.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…6367backed Over | 70c | 21.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…dd45backed Over | 65c | 18.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 65c | 15.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 1.5this page
- Egypt vs. Russia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Russia won
- Spread: Russia (-1.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.