Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. Russia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aaa03ef18b116231b9a4581d0b1252207c2b2dd72edbc48771fadbe474b5b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 35c | 22,739$7,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,967.06 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 12,766$9,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 52c | 11,084$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,359.88 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 1,346$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.07 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…0f3bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,290$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 50c | 1,270$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 55c | 1,168$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.83 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 71c | 716.33$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.51 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Yes | 28c | 571.25$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 562.61$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…94ccbacked Yes | 23c | 464.63$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 50c | 392$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 47c | 298.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 51c | 294.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 50c | 191.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 45c | 180.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 127.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed No | 52c | 79.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 75c | 58.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 78c | 57.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 44c | 55.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…0f3ebacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…1d04backed No | 77c | 38.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…a4d7backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked No | 69c | 35.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed No | 76c | 33.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 72c | 23.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 75c | 23.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed No | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…cb1abacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 72c | 15.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed No | 76c | 15.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 147 | 68.7%101 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 74c | 14.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. Russia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Russia won
- Spread: Russia (-1.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.