MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55517e03d2ff069dd07cc4c75fe0c929a9e27fbe51558654337bdd7d4c0da891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 14,862$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,862.49 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 10,129$6,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,827.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 3,794$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.92 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 3,224$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.36 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 2,667$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 2,370$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.29 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.97 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 1,912$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 1,904$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.38 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 1,504$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 1,315$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.61 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 1,255$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.36 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 1,250$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 1,140$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.44 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 1,119$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 883.33$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.33 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 880$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.8 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 868.37$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.49 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 754.99$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.39 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 658.46$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Chicago White Sox | 71c | 633.98$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Chicago White Sox | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 422.78$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 377.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 349.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 336$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 303.63$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.58 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 277.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 171.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 167.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Chicago White Sox | 32c | 152.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 152.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked Chicago White Sox | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Chicago White Sox | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 118.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 89.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 81.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 78.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 75.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 59.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 54.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 51.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 43.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 40.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Chicago White Sox | 32c | 38.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 36.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…664dbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 30.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 21.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 16.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 15.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…8ddabacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.