MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b5defccbd75992a9423b6296a8c8541e86dd9d684bbbe528e89432b78e22f9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,975$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 31c | 1,512$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.65 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Over | 73c | 1,380$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.7 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 71c | 1,203$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 33c | 968.29$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.05 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 27c | 633.94$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 71c | 543.65$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 39c | 189.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 164.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…4933backed Under | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 51c | 106.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 68c | 105.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 83.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 73.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 64c | 63.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 52c | 62.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 57.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 54.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 22c | 50.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 483 | 43.3%209 W · 274 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 70c | 47.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 63c | 46.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 28c | 44.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 44c | 41.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…d280backed Over | 72c | 41.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…0720backed Over | 72c | 38.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…ac26backed Over | 72c | 37.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…6756backed Over | 72c | 37.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…18b0backed Over | 72c | 36.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…cc49backed Over | 72c | 36.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…ab10backed Over | 72c | 35.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…572dbacked Over | 72c | 35.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…9f54backed Over | 72c | 34.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…575abacked Over | 72c | 33.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2a7backed Over | 72c | 32.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…b0c6backed Over | 72c | 32.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…8194backed Over | 72c | 30.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…77d2backed Over | 72c | 29.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…394abacked Over | 72c | 28.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 44c | 24.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…23fabacked Over | 72c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Over | 74c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.