MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x394c1519cc70a784e2237c7349045ca29f5533793ecc6c9114417ec15c5657b8

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,115 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over	36c	2,656$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.26	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under	64c	2,649$1,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$953.81	248	52.4%130 W · 118 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	7c	1,809$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.94	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	10c	1,044$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.34	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over	27c	414.33$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.95	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Under	73c	342.7$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.7	125	75.2%94 W · 31 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed Under	78c	265.38$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.38	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	59c	196.74$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.7	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	8c	138.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.08	2,044	39.5%808 W · 1,236 L	-24.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over	40c	133.22$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.69	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	75c	103$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.13	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	19c	91.9$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.56	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88e…a8c6backed Over	17c	88.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-77%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	28c	74.05$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	2,311	51%1,179 W · 1,132 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	26c	65.38$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cc…28bdbacked Under	70c	61.19$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.06	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5e…d255backed Under	71c	57.29$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.61	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2227…f6dcbacked Under	71c	48.91$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.18	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5c…0380backed Under	71c	45.9$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.31	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	66cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5620…1764backed Under	71c	43.5$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.62	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…0ab2backed Under	72c	43.4$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.15	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2052…d016backed Under	72c	40.5$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.34	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	64cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5574…f9fbbacked Under	72c	40.3$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6833…bb84backed Under	71c	38.7$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.22	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	65cpaid	-45%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa826…a0ecbacked Under	71c	37.8$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.96	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	62cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88fa…bb82backed Under	71c	36.2$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94dc…c7b5backed Under	72c	35.5$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.45per pick	65cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x862c…72a1backed Under	71c	35.5$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f6f…44e9backed Under	72c	35.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.88	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	67cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ec2…3732backed Under	71c	34.5$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.01	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	69cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa63f…ced7backed Under	71c	34.2$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.92	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c38…c255backed Under	71c	32.9$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.54	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14b5…43f1backed Under	72c	32.5$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.1	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	64cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0a6…f5d9backed Under	72c	32.5$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.1	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x791a…6ddabacked Under	71c	32.1$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.31	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	67cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d83…3ceabacked Under	71c	31.5$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4629…35e2backed Under	72c	31.5$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.82	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…6365backed Under	71c	30.89$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.96	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over	39c	30.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	1,149	48.9%562 W · 587 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…c6dcbacked Under	71c	30.6$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.87	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…90e5backed Under	71c	30.2$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.76	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.20per pick	67cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a8e…56d7backed Under	72c	29.3$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	71cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…6ed2backed Under	71c	29$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.41	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f9…0bffbacked Under	71c	28.8$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.35	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	66cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	72c	28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.84	2,310	52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d4…47a7backed Under	71c	27.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.09	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under	79c	27.77$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	573	46.9%269 W · 304 L	+14.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under	73c	27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.29	209	62.7%131 W · 78 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077b…11d4backed Under	71c	26.2$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1c…fd77backed Under	71c	25.79$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.48	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…c707backed Under	71c	25.7$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.45	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	72cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d41…581fbacked Under	71c	24.71$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.17	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf3…7b13backed Under	71c	24.01$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.96	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	70cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e32…b2fcbacked Under	71c	23.7$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.87	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6231…c97ebacked Under	71c	23.69$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.87	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4484…eeadbacked Under	71c	23.5$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.82	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb6…7715backed Under	71c	23.4$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.79	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x392f…4d67backed Under	71c	22.5$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.53	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x233c…6996backed Under	71c	21.5$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.24	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f91…d069backed Under	71c	20.9$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.06	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…443bbacked Under	71c	20.8$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.03	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b68…bfefbacked Under	71c	20.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.98	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6c…88a0backed Under	70c	20.5$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.15	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.23per pick	62cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9792…3ee7backed Under	71c	17.3$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.02	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.36per pick	65cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ce4…a11dbacked Under	72c	16.64$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.64	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5this page
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event