MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a04d643280b282f4b7521e80a4926ae84da3d5f731569f8683cdbfa874c78df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 23,689$11,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,489.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 18,016$9,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,802.32 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 52c | 5,703$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.42 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 39c | 4,400$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 61c | 4,348$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.28 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 4,049$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.95 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 2,986$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.17 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,728$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 39c | 2,342$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.93 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 55c | 2,128$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.6 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 1,736$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.21 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 1,735$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 45c | 1,205$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 44c | 1,060$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.59 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 45c | 937.35$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.81 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 55c | 902$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.14 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 57c | 697.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 44c | 660.08$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 22c | 597.79$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 34c | 334.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 33c | 301.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 213.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…78cfbacked Under | 68c | 206.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 53c | 186.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 52c | 179$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 16c | 159.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 53c | 159.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 53c | 152.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 28c | 148$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 43c | 128.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 60c | 118$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 63c | 96.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 49c | 83.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…9852backed Under | 65c | 82.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Under | 63c | 75.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 52c | 59.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 57c | 46.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 43.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 56c | 43.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 56c | 31.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Under | 63c | 31.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 57c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 57c | 24.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 23.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 22.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 57c | 22.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…2191backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 55c | 18.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 69c | 16.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.