MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8709baa51d7518b03d4d6be982c75b4013da388cbfd51330cc1dfbc6b08f0ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 24,558$11,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,338.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 72c | 22,419$16,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,126.11 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 43c | 15,710$6,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,679.97 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 40c | 8,657$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,217.63 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 8,522$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed Under | 5c | 4,783$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +363.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Under | 40c | 4,225$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 3,734$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.85 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 6c | 3,640$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +545.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 3,463$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 2,922$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 45c | 2,640$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 6c | 2,400$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 51c | 1,989$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.57 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 45c | 1,573$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…c780backed Under | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +288.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 45c | 1,348$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.36 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 42c | 1,282$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.25 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 1,118$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 69c | 974$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 938.68$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 33c | 903.63$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 45c | 887.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.33 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 41c | 734.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 51c | 580.49$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.44 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 564.17$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.44 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Under | 48c | 549.97$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 51c | 422.15$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.86 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 49c | 422$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…73bfbacked Over | 52c | 417.87$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 69c | 405.3$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 70c | 386.04$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 51c | 376.53$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 36c | 177.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 58c | 151.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 40c | 126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 116.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 46c | 116.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 57c | 78.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Over | 42c | 73.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 44c | 51.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 44c | 49.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 44.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…e155backed Over | 46c | 44.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 48c | 42.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 52c | 38.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 31.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Over | 53c | 29.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Under | 49c | 28.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…f0a9backed Over | 67c | 25.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Under | 49c | 23.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 21.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 52c | 20.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 20.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 59c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Over | 55c | 18.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 76c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.