MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c1f0bb14b27dfe31d2e9d917a3451ce64d4c1c8992c958ca2dbc69c7386e4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 2,691$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 2,525$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.17 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 1,017$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 989.06$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 38c | 645.8$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.24 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 541.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 16c | 404.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 34c | 343.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 34c | 251.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 216.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 47c | 121.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…71efbacked Over | 30c | 80.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 42c | 76.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 34c | 45.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Over | 36c | 44.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 70c | 42.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…190ebacked Over | 35c | 42.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 220 | 64.1%141 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…8325backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…e5bebacked Under | 64c | 35.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…0ecabacked Under | 64c | 34.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88c…26b7backed Under | 64c | 33.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…5025backed Under | 65c | 33.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5206backed Under | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…fbe1backed Under | 64c | 32.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…cbc8backed Under | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 35c | 31.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…8623backed Under | 65c | 31.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4799…07febacked Under | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf354…5645backed Under | 64c | 30.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…5ae3backed Under | 64c | 30.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…6253backed Under | 65c | 29.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…c43bbacked Under | 65c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…8539backed Under | 64c | 29.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…adc3backed Under | 64c | 28.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…e37bbacked Under | 64c | 28.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc859…b72cbacked Under | 64c | 28.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…3bafbacked Under | 65c | 28.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 48c | 27.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…fe3ebacked Under | 64c | 27.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…d21cbacked Under | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…f53bbacked Under | 64c | 26.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…4681backed Under | 64c | 26.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6783…73f9backed Under | 65c | 25.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…2ad0backed Under | 64c | 25.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…d900backed Under | 64c | 20.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c1…6fc2backed Under | 65c | 20.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa290…7920backed Under | 65c | 19.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…2c72backed Under | 79c | 18.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x440b…7551backed Under | 64c | 17.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…5bd0backed Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.