MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9bc00ddedd24fbfffbeab69420466c99cff3c3373f287dde0f6f4106f408680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 100,965$50,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,482.33 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 50c | 41,400$20,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,700 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 33,845$16,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,922.62 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 4,918$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.97 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 4,908$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 4,820$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.97 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 4,820$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.97 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 50c | 4,732$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.09 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 46c | 4,302$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 4,280$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 3,176$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 2,852$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.14 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Under | 50c | 1,353$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 50c | 1,284$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.25 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,252$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.26 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 51c | 1,224$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.03 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.16 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.75 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.89 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 717.32$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 569.26$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 51c | 564.14$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.43 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 512.29$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 53c | 453$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 372.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 49c | 360$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Over | 47c | 351$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 330.25$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 267.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 236.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 50c | 212.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 24c | 210.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 61c | 147.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 38c | 144.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 27c | 143.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 75c | 131.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 48c | 102.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 50c | 97.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 54c | 97.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 18c | 94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 45c | 89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Over | 48c | 88.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 84.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 38c | 79.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 45c | 73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 68.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 75c | 63.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 62.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 60.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 51c | 57.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 42c | 47.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 50c | 42.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 50c | 41.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 47c | 38.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7e77backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 51c | 33.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 50c | 31.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 29.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 28.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…3d79backed Under | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 26.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Over | 49c | 25.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Under | 65c | 23.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Under | 51c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Under | 51c | 21.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 55c | 21.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Over | 64c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…b3ffbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.