CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7907b9aab6062406c1020c1738ff7cf7a22f99c7dae200db88b18d67f1dd95aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6185…2965backed fnatic | 75c | 8,630$6,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.52 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 8,500$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…e707backed fnatic | 77c | 1,930$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…7603backed fnatic | 73c | 1,710$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 1,123$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 1,023$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed fnatic | 74c | 922.56$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.38 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 797.86$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…09e3backed fnatic | 75c | 791.71$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.89 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked fnatic | 74c | 731.28$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 683.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 505$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed fnatic | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed fnatic | 75c | 457.69$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked fnatic | 74c | 457.69$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed fnatic | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed fnatic | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 392.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 381.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 368.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 343$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed fnatic | 71c | 335.95$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0ce8backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 322.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked fnatic | 70c | 322.84$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 310$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed fnatic | 76c | 263.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked fnatic | 75c | 219.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed fnatic | 75c | 200.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed fnatic | 75c | 197.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed fnatic | 74c | 189$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…9a8dbacked fnatic | 77c | 187$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 181.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked fnatic | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 174.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked fnatic | 77c | 169$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 159.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed fnatic | 76c | 126.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic | 73c | 126.28$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 126$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 124.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed fnatic | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…6c0cbacked fnatic | 72c | 118$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked fnatic | 75c | 114.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked fnatic | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…498abacked fnatic | 74c | 93.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 90.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed fnatic | 76c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed fnatic | 70c | 84.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…7992backed fnatic | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed fnatic | 78c | 78.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed fnatic | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…7031backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 71.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed fnatic | 75c | 60.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…fd3ebacked fnatic | 75c | 58.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked fnatic | 77c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…158ebacked Rune Eaters | 27c | 54.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked fnatic | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…9df5backed fnatic | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 43.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…fdf3backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 42.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…5bf0backed fnatic | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked fnatic | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed fnatic | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed fnatic | 74c | 22.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed fnatic | 73c | 19.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed fnatic | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed fnatic | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked fnatic | 69c | 15.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked fnatic | 72c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked fnatic | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)fnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.