CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x253d18f98eca8a32c239ce2c271e62d973f6642402d7df3e5ed33f7c913bf09c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.97 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed fnatic | 47c | 2,143$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.55 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…ca21backed fnatic | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 862.62$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.57 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked fnatic | 50c | 697.7$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.36 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked fnatic | 47c | 586.87$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.04 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed fnatic | 52c | 503.37$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.47 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed fnatic | 46c | 495.47$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.79 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed fnatic | 47c | 488.43$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.87 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked fnatic | 56c | 391.15$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.52 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…2536backed fnatic | 47c | 376.6$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 285.85$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 251.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 242.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed fnatic | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed fnatic | 54c | 185.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed fnatic | 48c | 147.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed fnatic | 53c | 140.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed fnatic | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed fnatic | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 96.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 77.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…d07ebacked fnatic | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 30.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 24.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagefnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.