Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0607b0836d14c8b63f35bd03d298d612c0ad9842615135acdf7eda8893dc1fb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 56c | 27,119$15,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,944.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 44c | 11,428$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.29 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 5,429$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.48 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 38c | 4,385$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.67 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 4,201$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.24 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.99 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 1,454$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.54 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 1,278$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 77c | 1,202$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 44c | 873.52$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.68 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 690.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.15 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 460$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 57c | 381.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 344.28$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 57c | 313.89$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 71c | 253.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Yes | 19c | 249.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 193.38$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 16c | 183.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 59c | 176.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 141.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 73c | 137.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 80c | 137.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 29c | 132.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 44c | 110.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 99.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 23c | 90.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 17c | 87.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 63c | 87.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 82.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 78.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…cd38backed Yes | 37c | 67.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 56.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 24c | 51.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed No | 71c | 51.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 61c | 50.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 47.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed No | 68c | 44.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 70c | 42.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 34c | 41.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…8389backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 26c | 39.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 28c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…7347backed Yes | 44c | 36.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…02ffbacked Yes | 44c | 33.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…8e09backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…e519backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked No | 68c | 18.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed No | 80c | 16.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 75c | 13.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.