TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd87d…e519

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+97%+$24.26
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+46.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+76%+$15.89
Centurion: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Giles Husseybacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$55.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$29.71
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$30.55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$34.35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+213.7%+$40.19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.