MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa42e880fc23e8b08103e75f231807aab8fb626953ed9d8890c2d50cd06a948e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $812,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $869,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $812,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 573 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 66,507$24,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,080.33 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 58,163$33,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,037.12 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 46,222$20,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,789.85 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 35,440$15,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,320.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 34,297$19,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,747.57 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 33,545$9,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,446.39 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 26,265$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,264.86 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 23,017$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 21,275$9,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,314.3 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 19,389$8,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,531.03 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 18,151$9,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,168.06 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 78c | 18,007$14,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 18,000$7,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,739.98 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.38 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 15,660$6,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,733.62 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 14,000$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,889.98 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 12,527$7,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,513.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 12,506$9,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 11,600$5,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,104 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 10,500$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 9,262$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.61 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 8,552$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Miami Marlins | 0c | 8,237$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 7,883$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.79 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6194…88b2backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 7,792$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 7,572$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 14c | 7,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 6,031$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.4 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 5,540$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 4,979$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 4,557$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.55 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 4,464$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.16 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 4,377$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.71 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 4,204$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.3 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 4,091$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,556$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Miami Marlins | 17c | 3,454$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.77 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 3,315$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 3,230$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.53 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 3,000$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,975$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.65 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 2,873$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.22 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 2,811$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,756$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.71 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 15c | 2,663$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 2,429$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.19 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,242$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.07 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,155$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 2,100$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 2,086$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.23 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,930$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.82 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,929$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.46 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 1,912$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.8 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,890$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.7 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,821$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,773$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.33 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,359$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.35 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 1,242$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.14 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 1,239$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 1,233$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 1,203$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.79 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…06d7backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.97 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,175$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.25 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,163$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.09 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,151$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.93 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 1,111$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,108$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.74 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,065$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.6 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Atlanta Braves | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.86 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 1,000$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 999.96$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.98 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 999.85$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.93 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 993.69$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.29 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 944.09$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 929.37$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.69 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1e5abacked Miami Marlins | 11c | 892.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 879.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.19 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…4e02backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 854$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.76 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.