MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca313127e0b79c1155439f7aaf1ae6bbef2b91457e7092a4e1d3064582be82e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 17,841$7,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,862.14 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 15,555$8,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,866.34 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 10,422$5,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,517.47 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 4,626$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,000$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 2,407$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.76 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…5228backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,089$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.92 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,650$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.89 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,524$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.33 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,361$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.15 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,047$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,030$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.33 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,015$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.41 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 821.98$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.53 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 624.65$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.81 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 519.67$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.82 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 452.09$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.17 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 420$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 401.31$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 239.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 226.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 210.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 200.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 199.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 198.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…d49fbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 196.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 169$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 158.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 157.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 151.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…ac63backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 144.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 135.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 131$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 120.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 117$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 108.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 106.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 85.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 76.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 72.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 61.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 56.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked Atlanta Braves | 74c | 56.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 51.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 41.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 39.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…c386backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…eed4backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 31.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 26.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 24.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 24.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…f6b9backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 21.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.