Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6a1f5320e157ce460e0fc08119beb10bbf064ac1f2ed1aeaea85b419585637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 13,123$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.24 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 9,842$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Yes | 72c | 8,225$5,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 76c | 4,683$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.24 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 40c | 3,097$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.27 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 2,392$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.84 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 60c | 2,198$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.33 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 2,002$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 1,429$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.14 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…2d0dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,153$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 28c | 1,098$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.12 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 24c | 1,041$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 65c | 901.23$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.43 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 33c | 773.08$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.91 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 32c | 753.13$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 6c | 604.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 63c | 551.24$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.56 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 24c | 489.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…1ec0backed Yes | 73c | 457.79$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes | 66c | 454.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5afe…af69backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed No | 41c | 307.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 32c | 270.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 73c | 236.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 70c | 200.24$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 69c | 190.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5889…6a6fbacked Yes | 72c | 163.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…691ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 42c | 142.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed Yes | 71c | 140.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 70c | 138.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 32c | 137.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…9fc7backed No | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 44c | 130.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…526cbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed No | 16c | 122.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 21c | 117.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 40c | 81.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 81.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 79c | 76.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 71c | 70.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b649backed Yes | 69c | 65.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 31c | 63.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 49c | 60.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 67c | 57.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 56.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked No | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 24c | 44.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked No | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 30c | 40.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed No | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 78c | 38.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…e519backed Yes | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 56c | 33.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 34c | 32.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…2e22backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5f8ebacked Yes | 64c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Yes | 71c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Yes | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Yes | 60c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…a465backed Yes | 71c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.