Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97f5f027f98ce07c236e8aa9c030aa2c9e614d29700a566e0c613757c27c8817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…49a4backed Yes | 10c | 437.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 80c | 179.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 145.79$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 75.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 18c | 63.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 79c | 44.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 77c | 41.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdd…49f2backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.