TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x61a1…1307

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.04
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)backed Molde FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Sarpsborg 08 FF leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+179.5%+$89.75
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
FK Bodø/Glimt leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.14
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)backed AFC Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Aalesunds FK leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.71
Will FC København win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Brøndby IF vs. FC København: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$45.09
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$103.4
FC Utrecht leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.55
Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)backed FC Utrecht · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.56
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$28.27
Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)backed AFC Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Lillestrøm SK leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.93
Kristiansund BK leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.63
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$22.05
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.2
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$47.99
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
AC Milan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.45
AS Roma leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+215.9%+$43.04
Como 1907 leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$87.14
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$40.24
Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
SS Lazio leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.56
Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$58.54
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Hijikata vs Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Gaston (-2.5) vs Monfils (+2.5)backed Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Set 1 Winner: Zakharova vs Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.63
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$38.85
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Set 1 Winner: Busta vs Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$26.65
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.05
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sloane Stephensbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Set Handicap: Jong (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)backed Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)backed Shandong Taishan FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Liaoning Tieren FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$72.83
Chengdu Rongcheng FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5)backed Kyōto Sanga FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Al Nassr Saudi Club leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$63.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90.78
Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)backed Columbus Crew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+161.6%+$48.48
Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolfsburg leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29.23
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)backed Auckland FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.