Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc57e70fbc435d4855a2961694ecee60c54fd30a2f734fda8b6450b9df9216e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 1,941$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.86 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 37c | 1,068$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 64c | 916.66$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 717.48$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.65 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 560.48$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.21 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 63c | 454.1$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…e3c9backed Yes | 37c | 429.73$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 63c | 299.33$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 63c | 259.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +137%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 32c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed Yes | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 62.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…50fdbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…9e30backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?this page
- Bologna FC 1909 leading at halftime?Yes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.