TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Columbus Crewof Columbus Crew, Atlanta United FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Columbus Crew38c29,445$11,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,255.871060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta United FC62c11,294$7,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,002.2823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta United FC61c4,507$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.653,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Atlanta United FC62c1,600$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99217258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Columbus Crew51c1,514$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.4322269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Columbus Crew62c1,353$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Atlanta United FC62c1,200$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74412263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta United FC62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Atlanta United FC45c897.68$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta United FC62c847$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.1413948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Columbus Crew38c783.58$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.1718651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked Atlanta United FC32c771.67$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Atlanta United FC62c761.78$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.4398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Atlanta United FC62c700$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43412661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Columbus Crew44c650.93$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.5239567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Atlanta United FC62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37215858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Columbus Crew75c591.93$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.868150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlanta United FC50c578.4$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2971443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Columbus Crew63c540.54$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Atlanta United FC62c512.42$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.7910655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Atlanta United FC62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31014359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta United FC42c474.54$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.641,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Atlanta United FC62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Atlanta United FC62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Atlanta United FC62c335.19$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2942947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Atlanta United FC62c322.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.91838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Columbus Crew73c309.51$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.323234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Atlanta United FC62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18615060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Atlanta United FC62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Atlanta United FC18c294$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9210319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Columbus Crew39c287$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.048971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Atlanta United FC62c260$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.211759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Atlanta United FC62c260$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.212162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Atlanta United FC62c229.01$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Atlanta United FC62c221.37$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.253345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta United FC26c217.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.311,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Atlanta United FC20c187.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.513923.1%9 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Atlanta United FC62c177.1$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Atlanta United FC62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.214459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Atlanta United FC62c156$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7214660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Atlanta United FC62c156$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7214459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Atlanta United FC62c140$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta United FC35c137.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3980249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Atlanta United FC62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6215259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Atlanta United FC62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6213461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Atlanta United FC62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6213560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta United FC47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7148344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta United FC45c94.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5952639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Columbus Crew49c90.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Atlanta United FC56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Atlanta United FC62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506341.3%26 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Atlanta United FC62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Atlanta United FC62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.69058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Columbus Crew78c78.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.461,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a1…1307backed Columbus Crew38c78.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Atlanta United FC62c75.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.817140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Atlanta United FC23c68.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Atlanta United FC62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.213557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Atlanta United FC56c58.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta United FC64c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Atlanta United FC56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Columbus Crew38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.635354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Atlanta United FC62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Atlanta United FC41c47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.362737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Columbus Crew41c45.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.821338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta United FC25c43.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Atlanta United FC62c41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.421,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Atlanta United FC62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.88469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Atlanta United FC62c37.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d19…a694backed Columbus Crew39c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.87560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Atlanta United FC63c36.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5830735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta United FC62c35.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7733346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta United FC62c34.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5946156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Columbus Crew63c31.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.744858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Atlanta United FC62c31.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.654650%23 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Columbus Crew78c31.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.930957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Atlanta United FC62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.64961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Atlanta United FC40c26.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Atlanta United FC62c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Atlanta United FC62c23.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5273438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Columbus Crew71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.099555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Atlanta United FC62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Atlanta United FC62c19.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.828257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Atlanta United FC62c18.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.736958%40 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Atlanta United FC62c18.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.575464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Atlanta United FC62c16.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.016847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Columbus Crew70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.52965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Columbus Crew79c14.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.96944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+90.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.