Mls · resolved market
Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf32ecc8d878866d64988b43b916feb8ed00e64af77ec20b820aaf5f8812537fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 23c | 15,167$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.52 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 79c | 5,508$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.85 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 22c | 4,279$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.5 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 1,706$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.1 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 77c | 1,600$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 77c | 1,150$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.1 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 77c | 909$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.07 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 22c | 824$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 15c | 677.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 77c | 592$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 77c | 584.42$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 78c | 516.49$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 77c | 465.53$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 77c | 421.96$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 15c | 299.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 285.84$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 231.76$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 21c | 165.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 77c | 160$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 77c | 156$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 77c | 156$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 12c | 142.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 12c | 142.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 12c | 131.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 15c | 131.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Over | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 22c | 89.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…de52backed Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 16c | 86.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 28c | 35.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Under | 79c | 28.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 78c | 24.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 79c | 18.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.