TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over40c10,037$4,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,064.6327837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over41c3,680$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50019044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over38c3,602$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.684228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under62c2,807$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.2871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under66c2,403$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.7124046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under63c2,245$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.35162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under70c1,277$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.219052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c1,263$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.673,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49212263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c1,022$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.0498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c900.62$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.5268150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over40c824$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.86631.8%21 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28712661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over34c650$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22110319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over39c600.12$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.76625.8%17 W · 49 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under60c600.11$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1120043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24615858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under59c592$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7211055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under59c511.93$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8917258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20514359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over27c478$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4139567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under66c415.06$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under62c408.27$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.149437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under60c400$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16416960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16414257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over40c373.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under65c353.76$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.06650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Over47c350.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.331338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under64c303.53$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4778344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12313158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under62c288.66$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6922042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under59c260$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.611759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under64c257.84$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.084639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over46c215.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over44c168.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.614459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under55c158.74$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.871,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under60c155.76$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.821,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.416955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under59c123.51$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.643234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73f6…e559backed Under62c122.58$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over28c118$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0420554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over13c109.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under62c106.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.458144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3810046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4115259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.776651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under59c88.41$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2512162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.89058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under60c74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.642947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over36c72.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0730957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over36c72.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over21c72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Over28c69.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.594650%23 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over32c69.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.471,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c77…2eb1backed Under60c62.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over28c60.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8829460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8936051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under60c59.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.887140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over28c55.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4631158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b5a…39e0backed Over28c54.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.340%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over40c53.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.44639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under62c53.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2312551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under60c49.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.846156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Under61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259758.8%57 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-45.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under63c43.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.281675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.48469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over40c31.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under60c30.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.087953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over39c26.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.172245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over42c24.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3330735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under60c21.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Under61c18.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.285464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under60c17.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0710655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.