TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64ce…944bbacked Over56c16,869$9,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,446.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under44c15,884$6,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,935.924551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over63c8,381$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,28019044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over63c3,880$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.41926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-43.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over62c3,483$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.427837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under53c2,850$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.184852.1%25 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under37c2,728$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.6546156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under40c2,497$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.6271443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over62c1,854$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.6953040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over58c1,801$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.6222269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over60c1,670$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under37c1,600$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00817258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under44c1,335$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under44c1,300$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.754957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under37c1,200$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75612263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c1,185$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.251,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under44c921.92$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.7524046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over51c853.47$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.3939567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under52c845.33$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.1122042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over63c790$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.71241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under41c730.24$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.939052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under37c700$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44112661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over60c664.99$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.95911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-81.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under38c617.04$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.5642947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under37c612.52$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.0115858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under37c591.98$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9511055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over56c525.99$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.148344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31514359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Under35c479.66$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c465$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.1578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c444.47$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.5797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c437.47$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.2368150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under37c410$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.31764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over62c406.94$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25216960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25214257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under35c376.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.041662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over33c358.88$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.25825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over56c349.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9910319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over64c341.88$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.55714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under42c326.58$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.313743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under38c315.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7920043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over46c300.38$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3252639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18915060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18913158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over46c294$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.961323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+124.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c275.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.821,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over65c263.08$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under37c260$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.811759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under37c260$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.812162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over63c237.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c77…2eb1backed Under43c228.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under38c210$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under68c192.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.324639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over70c172.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9113844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under38c171.69$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.698144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over71c169.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under40c165$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9912551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over62c163.65$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4618651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under40c162.9$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under37c160$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under38c156.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.086651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under37c156$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2814660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under37c156$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2814459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under38c152$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6935149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under37c140$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.216955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over71c139.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over60c110$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e30…02a0backed Over78c103.65$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under37c102.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.889848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…e559backed Under40c102.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb65e…de52backed Over35c102.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-83.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6310046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6315259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6313461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6313560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over53c96.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0410249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under36c94.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.921172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under46c90.76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.751675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over48c88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0336051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under45c81.43$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.042378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under37c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.49058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.953046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under37c75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.256065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under38c72.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.383234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.41,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over28c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.491,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over58c63.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.620554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over64c62.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7429460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over64c58.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5731158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over60c58.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.272254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under38c54.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9625851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under36c54.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8323953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.