Mls · resolved market
Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8273487ed91bef0ae5f776f8cef8a5e3489b03b05eceac79ac81c849d70afbbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 59c | 13,821$8,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,192.68 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 4,815$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.43 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 2,237$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.82 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…6e29backed Yes | 59c | 1,895$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 45c | 1,444$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.53 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 46c | 1,116$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.89 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 41c | 1,070$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.55 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 60c | 999.98$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 39c | 761.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.55 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 39c | 550.43$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.76 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 40c | 519.25$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.55 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 427.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.13 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 29c | 402.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 40c | 396.53$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 58c | 257.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 40c | 244.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 238.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.73 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 39c | 217.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes | 59c | 176.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 152.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…af5cbacked No | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 51c | 147.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 129$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 46c | 105.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 39c | 103.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 41c | 101$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Yes | 61c | 78.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 39c | 74.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 40c | 66.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 59c | 65.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…882fbacked No | 40c | 59.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 61c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 34c | 52.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 60c | 45.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…2c71backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 66c | 36.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 43c | 33.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 58c | 29.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 60c | 27.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed No | 43c | 26.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 58c | 24.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…f516backed Yes | 59c | 20.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Columbus Crew won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.