Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2acaca0b63c755e9bab8ea80f1fb6f2f488b8ebb14d9560878a7321ec1ecd378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Okhdood SCof Al Riyadh Saudi Club, Al Okhdood SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 34c | 1,088$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Al Okhdood SC | 69c | 1,080$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.45 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Okhdood SC | 70c | 740.85$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 28c | 739.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 684$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 38c | 639.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.37 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 28c | 593.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.18 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 423$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Al Okhdood SC | 74c | 350$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Al Okhdood SC | 61c | 325.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Al Okhdood SC | 65c | 178.89$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Al Okhdood SC | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 41c | 123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 33c | 87.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Al Okhdood SC | 63c | 79.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Al Okhdood SC | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 60c | 32.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Al Okhdood SC | 40c | 32.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Al Okhdood SC | 59c | 31.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Al Okhdood SC | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Al Okhdood SC | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Okhdood SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.