Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40a5b40a15c0d2e3e6920c9f892c523490a879952fb57a8f484f704fdbf34ed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 76c | 10,314$7,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 26c | 6,125$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.61 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 3,969$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.56 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 34c | 1,035$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.65 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 80c | 671.6$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…d312backed Under | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 350.33$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 24c | 126.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 63.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 33c | 44.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 38c | 40.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 76c | 38.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 68c | 22.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Okhdood SC won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Okhdood SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.