Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc53cb1894b7ef0c173b8fc85977ecc766914372bc0101c3f9992ac59e97bf1dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.9 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,370$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.09 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 48c | 1,329$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.78 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 1,158$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.28 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,108$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 990$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.9 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 459.43$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Over | 44c | 351.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 57c | 300.85$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 41c | 299$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…d312backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 44c | 68.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 74c | 55.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 49.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 56c | 47.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…6f3ebacked Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 31.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 58c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 57c | 29.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 43c | 24.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 58c | 21.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Okhdood SC won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Okhdood SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.