Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00aeaae797011b0c036437b892d6511fac138f1e84b20f655d43f81dbfd18cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 1,130$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.4 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 1,084$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Under | 38c | 592.06$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.08 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 344.22$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.51 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 62c | 340.84$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 35c | 210.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 80c | 207.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 183.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 61c | 176.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 61c | 175.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 34c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…69ddbacked Under | 73c | 137.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 71.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 62c | 42.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 62c | 42.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 62c | 42.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 33.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Over | 62c | 27.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 62c | 26.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Over | 61c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 19.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 62c | 17.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Okhdood SC won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Okhdood SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.