Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a33ce217a324b9df3fd2eda6d8db9495b0a180c90a9172fd6025b2c8550fb48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 3,908$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.43 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 993.83$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37d…a88bbacked Yes | 67c | 919.38$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 68c | 730.59$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.34 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 28c | 554$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 62c | 516.82$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.39 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 64c | 462.92$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 33c | 349.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 65c | 266$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 33c | 252.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 33c | 252.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…00edbacked Yes | 69c | 250.45$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 208.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked Yes | 60c | 178.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…bdcabacked Yes | 66c | 150.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…636cbacked Yes | 67c | 148.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed Yes | 48c | 122.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 65.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…107fbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 33c | 38.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5312backed Yes | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…05b0backed Yes | 66c | 30.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 57c | 22.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club leading at halftime?this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Draw at halftime?No won
- Damac Saudi Club leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.