South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464a4c3a162ac2ce74fbbbcb03871ab9615d40956cf499cfffea9911ba793187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 15c | 5,517$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.45 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 30c | 1,305$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.11 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…c93dbacked Yes | 74c | 679.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 62c | 482.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.34 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 40c | 384.36$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 72c | 381.51$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 66c | 282.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 77c | 276.4$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Yes | 32c | 275$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 270.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked No | 39c | 256.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 73c | 251.86$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 25c | 178.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 37c | 173.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 22c | 142.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 32c | 130$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 36c | 128.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 39c | 123.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 65c | 120.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 106.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 37c | 104$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 66c | 100.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 63c | 100.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Yes | 63c | 95.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 37c | 93.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed Yes | 64c | 82.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 25c | 82.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 68c | 75.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 71c | 75.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 33c | 68.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 67c | 66.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 61.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed No | 39c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 56.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 62c | 55.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 44c | 49.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 68c | 43.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…161abacked No | 70c | 43.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 35c | 42.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed No | 49c | 34.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Yes | 35c | 28.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…5607backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3956…7fe3backed Yes | 65c | 23.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 68c | 20.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…982dbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 77cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will EC Vitória vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.