Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd60453ff3e6e212503c8f8be9effcf3d5ae50e5477e4ac06906a3aa8bf619d64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 1,046$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.08 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 317.12$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 48c | 299.17$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 189.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…f595backed Yes | 61c | 133.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 47c | 119.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 38c | 102.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 100.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked No | 45c | 95.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 55c | 90.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 56c | 88.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 25c | 75.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 54c | 74.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 46c | 73.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 44c | 69.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Yes | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 55c | 45.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 55c | 45.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Yes | 55c | 45.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 55c | 42.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 39.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 57c | 30.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.