Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb97b3f173be57df6aa0cf94535e9d7a6f9fd79a0bdff973b388c9f06bb3d0f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 4,706$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.33 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 31c | 4,158$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.82 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 70c | 2,714$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 59c | 1,833$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.85 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 44c | 1,639$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.65 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 1,526$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.67 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 44c | 1,115$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.67 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 32c | 1,017$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 772.14$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.01 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 58c | 770$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.04 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 28c | 764.82$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 37c | 696.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.86 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 46c | 640$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 27c | 570.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 498.62$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.37 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 473$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 68c | 445.25$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 388$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 36c | 308.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 68c | 303.86$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 257.81$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 71c | 216.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 69c | 181$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 68c | 169.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 40c | 166.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 71c | 150.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 70c | 106.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 73c | 106.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.3wins | -0.55per pick | 72cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 97.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 52c | 71.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 55c | 69.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 52c | 63.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 61.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Under | 50c | 60.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 51c | 58.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd30f…eea0backed Over | 21c | 50.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 49.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 56c | 44.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 55c | 43.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 58c | 41.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…4fb2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…49b6backed Under | 71c | 27.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 44c | 27.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -12.3wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 69c | 26.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 23.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 69c | 16.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.