Asian League · resolved market
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d064aa63037683bf0936ed5b623f3f91905892805eb149f6df574aa91e1658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 7,144$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.26 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 45c | 2,093$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 53c | 1,808$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.92 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 47c | 1,712$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.24 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 1,062$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.06 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 50c | 916.22$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 45c | 364.94$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 29c | 345.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 37c | 340$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked No | 36c | 309.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 48c | 299.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 63c | 239.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 221.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 195.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed No | 53c | 170.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 49c | 160.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 48c | 127.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed Yes | 59c | 116.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 47c | 105.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 89.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed No | 36c | 87.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…72aabacked No | 49c | 84.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 52c | 77.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 51c | 76.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…69c9backed No | 51c | 65.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…c73ebacked No | 52c | 64.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed No | 55c | 55.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 47c | 50.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked Yes | 30c | 50.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 47.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 53c | 47.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…7564backed Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 42c | 39.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 49c | 35.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…6f3ebacked Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 44c | 32.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 56c | 28.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 47c | 27.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 48c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked No | 51c | 19.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 56c | 19.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed No | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 19.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 54c | 18.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5100…35dcbacked No | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)FC Machida Zelvia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.