TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b43…7829backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c5,582$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.85,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over24c2,980$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71115119.2%29 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over38c2,421$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.8524323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c2,309$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.142,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Under62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.992853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over24c1,805$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.117832.1%25 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under63c1,594$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.45966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.519526.3%25 W · 70 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under62c999.97$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.996248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over39c817.95$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3196738.8%26 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over41c725.24$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.351833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under59c592.19$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.191,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under77c571.3$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2230464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c565.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.61,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1954346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over15c479.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721921.1%4 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over38c471.28$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.139041.1%37 W · 53 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under61c439.22$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.242,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under62c436.71$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.781,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009950.5%50 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over38c261.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over38c257.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.831741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e6f…8c21backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under70c215.34$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6389245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over41c201.73$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.879344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206643.9%29 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabc1…eaa0backed Over41c199.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under63c189.06$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.261,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over38c186$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.682733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under41c173$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0718543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7d…2cabbacked Over38c167.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.561729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under62c165$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.71,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under67c163.97$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9712941.1%53 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under62c160.53$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1140550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under54c153.7$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.78146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under61c151.34$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4147860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over37c133$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2118353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over38c132.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.314540%18 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Under64c121.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.883857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.617545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.63336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b4e…a24abacked Under60c108.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed Over38c103$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.141030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3834050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+73.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over32c95.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over21c93.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over38c93.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6434560%207 W · 138 L+49.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over38c92.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1537562.7%235 W · 140 L+61.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfa52…eababacked Over38c92.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-64.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over41c83.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-78.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56c2…1618backed Under59c69.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over36c69.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9918838.8%73 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over37c66.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7411931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over39c66.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266532.3%21 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe34…3e44backed Under59c65.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e84…5c32backed Under59c64.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over41c63.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4339561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over61c54.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2719751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under63c53.81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9115850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Over38c51.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over38c51.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.59672.9%70 W · 26 L+19.3wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+145.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over38c51.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.55766.7%38 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Over38c51.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-50.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Under73c50.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.664057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195724.6%14 W · 43 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c49.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.891,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over40c44.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.751,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over38c42.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1747155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…1ba1backed Over47c42.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Over38c42.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162475%18 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over47c40.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under63c39.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.943458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Over64c38.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6241…dd56backed Under56c35.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd840…1ec6backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336d…13efbacked Over42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9e…6f3ebacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.150%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811347.8%54 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3210441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under72c23.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.624355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eda…fb8ebacked Under62c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under60c22.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0515455.8%86 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over53c20.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.833070%21 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x65c5…7ba3backed Over63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under76c16.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Under74c16.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.322369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under80c14.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.923080%24 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under77c13.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.014273.8%31 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.