South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x928bacfa1b0ced470fce503ad0fdd5c5cce84518467bc705824404243d37cdc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Yes | 57c | 375.07$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 222.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed No | 47c | 193.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 154.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…01fdbacked Yes | 53c | 111.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 55c | 107.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 53c | 102.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 47c | 98.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 54c | 98.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 46c | 82.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 41c | 80.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 53c | 65.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 46c | 64.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 61.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed Yes | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 57.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…e822backed Yes | 52c | 55.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed No | 45c | 50.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 47c | 38.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…af7bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 36.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 55c | 35.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff4…c45cbacked Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 54c | 32.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…583bbacked No | 45c | 29.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked No | 46c | 27.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…e226backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 19.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.